Can TDP cross the magic figure without JSP and BJP ?

Sunday, July 7, 2024

The trend suggested by various national surveys in the name of Exit Polls indicate that NDA alliance is all set to wrest power from Jagan Mohan Reddy led YSRCP in the assembly elections that were held on May 13th. Political analysts predicted that various factors worked in favour of alliance and succeeded in eroding the vote base of Jagan Mohan Reddy’s party in these elections.

Now, the talking point among political circles is whether the TDP led by Chandra Babu Naidu crosses the magic figure of 88 seats alone without including the seats of Janasena party and the BJP. It is a known fact that TDP fielded candidates in 144 seats. Almost all surveys that gave an edge to the NDA alliance projected that it would romp home with more than 110 seats. They predicted that Janasena is likely to win 15/16 seats out of the 21 seats and the BJP is going to clinch a maximum of 5 seats.

If the exact results on June 4th match these predictions, the TDP is likely to bag more than 90 seats which is just over the magic figure required to form the government. So, it would be interesting to see what role both Janasena and BJP will be given in Naidu’s cabinet if the TDP secures the majority on its own.

Naidu is a seasoned politician who can call shots in his own way on any day. But, given his reputation for resorting to opportunistic politics and also known for his ‘Use and Throw’ policy in the past, one cannot trust his words until they are put into action. Hence, all eyes will be on how he treats his alliance partners if at all the TDP itself secures majority without the support of Janasena and the BJP.

On the other side, Pawan Kalyan would emerge as a force to reckon with if his party manages to win more than 90% seats and the TDP falls short of the magic figure. Pawan will not doubt play a significant role in the policy making decisions of the government and his party will have substantial presence in the cabinet if the above equation happens on June 4th.

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